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Q4: bitcoin's historic surge of 85% makes waves

Q4 Trends | Bitcoin Price Expected to Surge Amid Mixed Reactions

By

Liam O'Connor

Sep 22, 2025, 05:48 PM

2 minutes estimated to read

A graphic showing a rising Bitcoin price trend with candles representing market movement, colored green and red, symbolizing growth and fluctuations in the cryptocurrency market.
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A significant trend in cryptocurrency suggests that Bitcoin (BTC) typically experiences an average price jump of 85% in the fourth quarter. However, the prevailing sentiment among people on various online forums indicates skepticism regarding this year's performance as signs of liquidation loom.

Contrasting Views on Market Dynamics

Despite the bullish data, some individuals express doubt about this quarter's positive outlook. Comments from the community highlight a noticeable tension:

  • Market Reactions: "It's so cringe how desperate folks keep posting bullish news while the market is liquidating longs"

  • Skepticism: Another forum member notes, "Everyone expects it to go up, but this feels like the thousandth time"

These voices reflect a broader apprehension about the marketโ€™s potential in Q4. Compounded by recent fluctuations, thereโ€™s a division between bullish advocates and naysayers.

Analysts Weigh In

Some analysts agree that the current market situation contradicts expectations. "Expectation is the cause of all disappointment," one comment pointedly remarks. This despair manifests as long-term investors remain unfazed by the potential downturn, leaving many questioning the reliability of market predictions.

Key Themes from the Discussion

  1. Skepticism About Predictions: Many believe bullish forecasts exaggerate potential outcomes.

  2. Desire for Price Corrections: Some are hoping for a further crash to buy at lower prices.

  3. Criticism of Influencers: Comments suggest that many analysts may prioritize their positions over genuine market insights.

"90% of TA analysts on Twitter just want to create exit liquidity for their positions," highlights community frustration around profit-driven analytics.

Broader Outlook

Amidst the confusion, it seems a segment of the crypto community embraces fluctuations rather than outright bullishness. Will Q4 unfold as expected, or are heads waiting for a rude awakening? Only time will tell.

Observations

  • ๐Ÿ”ป A majority of voices on forums reflect a skeptical sentiment.

  • ๐Ÿ’ฌ "We still don't know much. BTC could stay at $115k for the rest of the year," suggests market unpredictability.

  • ๐Ÿ’  Concerns over influencer integrity persist, suggesting a need for more transparency.

As more data emerges, the community watches closely, waiting for the next shift in this ever-turbulent crypto market.

What Lies Ahead for Bitcoin?

Bitcoin's future appears precarious as we move through Q4. Analysts suggest thereโ€™s a 70% chance that continued skepticism could lead to a price dip, rather than the anticipated surge. The volatile nature of crypto indicates a strong possibility of Bitcoin testing lower support levels before potentially finding momentum. If traditional market patterns hold, we might see a period of consolidation at around $100k, indicating both a cautious optimism and a strategic waiting game by many investors. As discussions unfold in forums, it's evident that sentiments will heavily influence short-term trends in the coming weeks.

Comparing Crypto to The 1918 Flu Pandemic

In examining Bitcoin's current environment, one might think about the aftermath of the 1918 flu pandemic. Post-pandemic, people grappled with uncertainty, leading to market corrections and surprising shifts in consumer behavior. Just as society eventually trusted in recovery despite earlier setbacks, the crypto crowd might react similarly. Investors today, haunted by the specter of previous market crashes, may display a collective caution that mirrors the populace's initial reluctance to embrace post-pandemic growth in the 1920s. As time passes, the risk appetite of crypto enthusiasts could increase, spurred by hopes of eventually riding the wave of a bullish recovery, just as it did a century ago.