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Is bitcoin's plummeting exchange supply a buy signal?

Bitcoin Supply Plummets | Is It Time to Buy?

By

Nina Patel

Oct 19, 2025, 05:15 AM

Edited By

Michael Zhang

2 minutes estimated to read

Graph showing decline in Bitcoin supply on exchanges over six years
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Bitcoin's supply on exchanges hit a six-year low, raising eyebrows among traders. Over 45,000 BTC, valued at $ billion, vanished from exchanges in October alone. Now, many are speculating whether this trend hints at a buying opportunity amidst a potential market rebound.

Market Snapshot

As of late October, Bitcoin trades at $106,947, dipping below the recent $108,000 support level. Sources highlight that the Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio indicates possible bullish conditions. Enthusiasts are eagerly waiting to see if momentum will push prices back up to $110,000 or $112,500. However, fears linger; further declines below $105,000 could put additional strain on the market.

"Bitcoin being bought up at record rates means demand is strong," a user noted.

Sentiment is Mixed

Comments on various forums reflect a blend of skepticism and optimism:

  • Some traders remain skeptical, suggesting that a quick recovery may not occur, with at least one user hoping for a fall to $97,000 before acting.

  • Meanwhile, others express confidence in the underlying demand, emphasizing that the low supply is a sign to accumulate more.

  • A notable sentiment seems to suggest that current prices contradict the low exchange supply, hinting at a disconnect in market expectations.

What Users are Saying

A few voices stood out amidst the chatter:

  • "Iโ€™ll keep DCAing BTC and ignore the noise."

  • "Shouldn't the price be going up then?"

  • "This sets up a perfect buying scenario."

Key Insights

  • ๐Ÿ”ฝ 45,000 BTC withdrawn from exchanges in October

  • โ–ณ Current Bitcoin price at $106,947โ€”below key support level

  • โ€ป "This crash was a shakeout for accumulation." - Commonly echoed sentiment

Whatโ€™s Next for Bitcoin?

As the week progresses, market watchers will be looking closely. Will Bitcoin recover and surpass its recent highs, or will it sink further, prompting new strategies for traders? Only time will tell.

Predictions as Bitcoin Faces Crossroads

A strong possibility exists for Bitcoin to rally in the coming weeks as traders react to the dwindling supply on exchanges. Analysts estimate about a 65% chance that prices could bounce back, especially if momentum builds towards key resistance levels around $110,000 to $112,500. Continued positive sentiment may drive fresh buying interest; however, if BTC dips below $105,000, the likelihood of sellers gaining control increases to around 55%, adding pressure on tired market participants. This delicate balance between demand and price action could lay the groundwork for upcoming volatility as the trading week unfolds.

A Historical Echo of Market Shifts

Reflecting on the speculative nature of markets, one might draw a parallel to the 1990s tech boom, where fluctuating stock prices often contradicted industry growth. During that era, many tech startups saw their valuations climb despite occasional pullbacks due to supply chain issues and market skepticism. Just as web browsers and search engines revolutionized communication, today's cryptocurrency markets may be setting the stage for a similar transformation, driven perhaps by the scarcity of digital assets amid evolving economic climates. Like tech enthusiasts in the past, crypto advocates are banking on foundational changes in transactions to propel long-term growth, showcasing how history often finds a way to repeat its own lessons.